The latest Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll finds President Obama had a lead of 53% to 42% among the 17% of the surveyed registered voters who said they had already cast their vote.
In the crucial swing state of Ohio, a new Time poll finds Obama holds a two-to-one lead over Romney among those who have voted early, 60% to 30%.
Considering how everyone says the Romney campaign has the edge on the enthusiasm gap, doesn’t it stand to reason that he’d be leading in early voting? I’m seriously asking. How do these numbers square with indications that the president lags behind Romney on voter enthusiasm? If Romney people were more enthusiastic, they’d be ostensibly leading right now.
My theory? The president has a stronger GOTV and ground game than Romney. If it holds, the final results should be very interesting.