Dan Senor, one of Romney’s neocon foreign policy advisers, thinks there’s a “systemic” crisis with presidential polls. You know, because two or three of them were wrong.
There’s “some kind of systemic crisis today in the world of polling,” Senor said. “I think particularly on the right-of-center polling — the modeling was way off.”
“The Republican establishment needs to do an audit here,” he added, and “figure out how our understanding of what the electorate looked like was way off.”
Yes, Gallup and Rasmussen were wrong because their sampling was way off, but everyone else was just about right. However, the real problem was the fact that Republicans and the Romney campaign refused to look at the broader polling averages especially at the state level. Instead, they cherrypicked the best-looking polls and stupidly judged their odds based on crowds and yard signs. Amateur mistakes.