The latest swing state polls via Political Wire.
Colorado: Obama 46%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Denver Post/SurveyUSA)
Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Gravis)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47% (Rasmussen)
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (Mellman)
New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 44% (New England College)
Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)
Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)
Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (We Ask America)
Wisconsin: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (We Ask America)
I’ve been avoiding talking about the polls lately because they’ve been all over the place with a lot of noise between them, but now that we’re four days away from the election a more clear picture is beginning to emerge.
The president is in a very strong position heading into the weekend and Romney is blustering, planning trips to Pennsylvania, Nevada, and New Hampshire. States that are unlikely to go in his favor.
The reason the Romney campaign is making these moves is fairly easy to explain — their path to 270 electoral votes is precarious at best. In fact there is a scenario in which the president can reach 270 even without Ohio. Mitt Romney would otherwise have to run the table to win.
Here’s Nate Silver’s latest gay wizard forecast.