Tag Archives: Polls

Get Your Ass to the Polls…

Posted on November 5, 2012 at 1:13 pm by Bob Cesca

…or else this will never happen: Dave Wissing notes that if final polls from The Economist/YouGov are correct, President Obama will win 303 electoral votes. The final Reuters/Ipsos polls suggest Obama will win 294 electoral votes. The final Public Policy … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , | 11 Comments

Obama Nearly Regains Pre-First-Debate Poll Average

Posted on November 1, 2012 at 9:12 am by Bob Cesca

No, national poll averages aren’t as important as the state-by-state averages, other than as a predictor of the popular vote, but I thought it was worth noting that the president has almost entirely regained his pre-first-debate average per TPM’s Polltracker. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , | 18 Comments

Ohio, Ohio, Ohio

Posted on October 27, 2012 at 12:13 pm by Bob Cesca

The president appears to be pulling away in Ohio again. And not a second too soon. As I mentioned on the podcast, the president can lose Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Colorado and still win the election with … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , | 15 Comments

Romney’s One Debate Win vs. Obama’s Three Debate Wins

Posted on October 26, 2012 at 11:16 am by Bob Cesca

Nate Silver’s charts with my annotations: Question for the room: Why do you think Romney received such a massive bounce with one debate win, but the president received a much smaller bounce with three consecutive debate wins (including the vice … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , | 42 Comments

John Sununu is a Horrible, Wretched Man

Posted on October 26, 2012 at 9:18 am by Bob Cesca

On CNN’s Piers Morgan last night discussing Colin Powell’s endorsement of President Obama: Sununu: Well, I’m not sure how important that is. I do like the fact that Colin Powell’s boss, George Herbert Walker Bush, has endorsed Mitt Romney all … Continue reading →

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The President Leads in Early Voting

Posted on October 25, 2012 at 9:13 am by Bob Cesca

Taegan: The latest Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll finds President Obama had a lead of 53% to 42% among the 17% of the surveyed registered voters who said they had already cast their vote. In the crucial swing state of Ohio, a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , , | 21 Comments

Registered Voter Polls More Accurate than Likely Voter Polls

Posted on October 24, 2012 at 9:24 am by Bob Cesca

Markos wrote up an encouraging post about poll accuracy and determined that actual vote results in the past couple of elections more closely matched the registered voter polls. Among registered voters, most of those polls gives President Barack Obama decent … Continue reading →

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Early Signs of a Debate Bounce for the President

Posted on October 20, 2012 at 11:22 am by Bob Cesca

PPP late last night: Barack Obama has held a small lead in our national tracking poll every night since Tuesday’s debate and he now holds a 49/47 lead in our rolling three day average based on interviews conducted between Wednesday … Continue reading →

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Farewell to the Romney Bounce

Posted on October 19, 2012 at 10:19 am by Bob Cesca

Nate Silver’s most recent projection: In a campaign loaded with awkward, weirdo gaffes, missteps and lies, I think we can safely regard Mitt Romney as a one hit wonder.

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , , | 12 Comments

Skewing is Back in Town

Posted on October 19, 2012 at 8:33 am by Bob Cesca

The polls seem to swinging back to Obama which can only mean that skewing is back from vacation. — TBogg (@tbogg) October 19, 2012 Exactly. Funny how the discussion of Unskewed Polls disappeared while Romney enjoyed a brief surge. As … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2012 | Tagged , | 3 Comments